| 胡江霞,文传浩,罗玉龙.三峡库区农村消费对经济增长贡献的结构方程模型分析[J].唐山学院学报,2015,28(1):37-41, 58 |
| 三峡库区农村消费对经济增长贡献的结构方程模型分析 |
| A Structural Equation Model Analysis of Rural Consumption’s Contribution to Economic Growth in Three Gorges Reservoir Area |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 三峡库区 农村消费 经济增长 结构方程模型 中图 |
| 英文关键词: Three Gorges Reservoir rural consumption economic growth structural equation modeling |
| 基金项目:国家社科基金重大招标项目(11&ZD161)；国家社科基金青年项目(14CJL031)；重庆市教委人文社科研究项目(14SKS50)；重庆工商大学研究生创新项目(yjscxx2014-052-05) |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 利用1993-2012年20年间《重庆统计年鉴》的数据,构建了三峡库区农村消费与经济增长关系的结构方程模型。结果表明:三峡库区农民消费对经济增长具有一定贡献,但是贡献很有限,其中,库区农民生活消费对经济增长的贡献最大,其路径系数为0.34；农民生产消费的贡献次之,其路径系数为0.25；农民文教娱乐消费的贡献最小,其路径系数为0.13。由此提出如下建议:大力提高库区农民的收入水平,增强农民的消费能力；大力开发农村生活资料市场；加大农业基础设施建设；引导农民树立良好的消费习惯；完善库区农村社会保障制度。 |
| 英文摘要: |
The authors of this paper have constructed a structural equation model of rural consumption and economic growth in Three Gorges Reservoir area, based on 20 years’ data from 1993 to 2012 in Chongqing Statistical Yearbooks.
e results show that the contributions of the rural consumption in Three Gorges Reservoir area are quite limited,among which the contribution of the farmers’ everyday consumption is the greatest, its path coefficient being 0.34； that of farmers’ production consumption comes second, its path coefficient being 0.25； and that of farmers’ education and entertainment consumption is the smallest, its path coefficient being 0.13； Accordingly, the authors make suggestions as follows: to raise the income level of farmers in the reservoir area, to increase the farmers’ consumption ability； to develop the rural living material market,to build up agricultural infrastructure,to guide farmers to get rid of bad spending habits,and to perfect the rural social security system of reservoir area. |
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